A change of political generations

In July 1984 a bustling bunch of 30-40-somethings took over the Beehive and turned policy upside down. They are all out of politics now and a new lot of 30-40-somethings is itching to get its hands on the levers.

The 1984 crew were born in or not long after the second world war. As young adults in the 1960s they challenged their parents’ desire for order, security and prosperity and pursued personal and social freedom. In power in the 1980s they extended that push for freedom into economic and foreign policy. read more

Are we ready for the politics of austerity?

New Zealanders, Bill English says, are “not brittle. They are resilient. They will do what has to be done.”

And what does he think has to be done? Weather the credit freeze. “By winter next year we will still be talking about the credit crisis.”

Compare 2005. At this point in the 2005 election campaign National and Labour were arguing about how to spend a huge budget surplus. John Key produced fiscal numbers which he said justified milk and honey for every taxpayer, with plenty left to bankroll the health and education systems. read more

Pitching to grumpy business

Colin James on business and the election for Management Magazine October

Through the Labour-led governments’ nine years business has been gloomy about the operating environment even though profits have been good and at times in bonanza territory. Is the gloom about to lift?

A superficial reading of the spring lift in business confidence might credit it to the prospect of a National-led government led by a man from business. read more

Now for social entrepreneurs

The factory state is dead. But the state still grows. How come? And what will future governments do about it?

The theory has been that in developed economies large-scale mass-produced state activity delivered by large monoliths would follow the private-sector mass-production factory into oblivion. British Conservative party leader David Cameron gushed, by video, to the National party conference in August about a coming “post-bureaucratic age”. read more

It's a rough ride but it is what we ordered

What would you do if you were running the central bank for the world’s biggest economy and you saw “irrational exuberance” in the financial markets?

Your answer is right at hand. You have read Milton Friedman and you would worry that the exuberance might be evidence of too much money which is bad for inflation and for economic stability. So you would tighten the screws so the exuberant irrationalists could do less damage. read more

What really counts in Winston Peters' slide

The important issue in the donations stink is not the looming end to Winston Peters’ sinuous career. It is the looming end of New Zealand First.

We can now be nearly sure Peters won’t be a minister after the election even if he manages to cling to his warrant before the election.

One never says die of Peters. Remember him walking up to the podium to concede Tauranga in 1999, only to hear as he walked that he had won by a sliver. read more

Turning CER into SEM

Trivial haggling over trading in peas and beans, leather wallets and even sea water prodded politicians into CER, the closer economic relationship with Australia, 25 years ago. Now the haggling is over complex and often obscure regulatory matters to make a single economic market (SEM). There is plenty to keep them going another 25 years. read more

Take me to your leaders: the constitution in 2033

Colin James for the Future Maker or Future Taker lecture series to mark the 25th anniversary of the Institute of Policy Studies 9 September 2008

On 7-8 April 2000 the Institute of Policy Studies ran an invited conference in the Legislative Council Chamber in Parliament Buildings “to involve a wider range of New Zealanders with as diverse a range of views as practicable in a debate on the constitution which has already begun and possibly to project forward a path for continuing broad-based debate”. The steering committee, composed of two former Governors-General, a former Prime Minister, a leading businessman and a leading Maori academic, declared a “belief that the constitution belongs to the whole people, can draw its legitimacy only from a broad-based agreement of the whole people and must not be changed without the approval of the whole people”. Both these statements were made widely available, in media statements and on the institute’s website. read more

Climate change: foreign and trade policy too

The National party wants the emissions trading bill passed but is voting against it. Does that make sense to you?

The government is ramming through the bill with late changes so numerous it is near-impossible to work out what it actually says and with minimal guide for those who try. We can be sure it is riddled with errors. Does that make sense to you? read more